3pm EDT/2pm CDT Update: ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE IDA MAKES SECOND LANDFALL SOUTHWEST OF GALLIANO LOUISIANA...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING INLAND ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA... NOAA Doppler radar imagery indicates that the eye of Ida made a second landfall along the southeastern coast of Louisiana just southwest of Galliano around 200 PM CDT (1900 UTC). Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 145 mph (235 km/h). The estimated central pressure is 934 mb (27.58 in). Within the past hour, a research wind gauge near Golden Meadow, Louisiana, reported sustained winds of 70 mph (113 km/h) and a gust to 107 mph (172 km/h) and a Weatherflow site in Dulac reported sustained winds of 76 mph (122 km/h) and a gust to 104 mph (167 km/h). The New Orleans Lakefront airport reported a peak wind gust of 76 mph (122 km/h) within the last hour. A NOAA National Ocean Service tide gauge in Shell Beach, Louisiana, recently reported a water level of 6.8 feet above mean higher high water, which is an approximation of inundation in that area. A NOAA National Ocean Service tide gauge at Bay Waveland Yacht Club, Mississippi, recently reported a water level of 5.6 feet above mean higher high water, which is an approximation of inundation in that area. SUMMARY OF 200 PM CDT...1900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.3N 90.4W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM WNW OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SE OF HOUMA LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...235 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB...27.58 INCHES
12:55pm EDT/11:55am Update: Hurricane Ida Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021
1155 AM CDT Sun Aug 29 2021
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE IDA MAKES LANDFALL NEAR
PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA...
NOAA Doppler radar imagery indicates that the eye of Ida made
landfall along the southeastern coast of Louisiana near Port
Fourchon around 1155 AM CDT (1655 UTC). Data from an Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft and Doppler radar data indicate that
Ida's maximum sustained winds at landfall were estimated to be 150
mph (240 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure estimated from
reconnaissance aircraft data is 930 mb (27.46 in).
Within the past hour, sustained winds of 43 mph (69 km/h) and a
gust to 67 mph (107 km/h) were reported at Lakefront Airport in New
Orleans.
A NOAA National Ocean Service tide gauge in Shell Beach, Louisiana,
recently reported a water level of 6.4 feet above mean higher high
water, which is an approximation of inundation in that area.
A NOAA National Ocean Service tide gauge at Bay Waveland Yacht Club,
Mississippi, recently reported a water level of 5.5 feet above mean
higher high water, which is an approximation of inundation in that
area.
SUMMARY OF 1155 AM CDT...1655 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.1N 90.2W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SW OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SE OF HOUMA LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB...27.46 INCHES12pm EDT/11am CDT: Hurricane Ida Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021
1100 AM CDT Sun Aug 29 2021
...1100 AM CDT POSITION UPDATE...
...NORTHERN EYEWALL OF IDA MOVING ONSHORE ALONG THE COAST OF
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...
An elevated NOAA C-MAN station at Southwest Pass, Louisiana,
recently reported a sustained wind of 89 mph (143 km/h) and a wind
gust of 104 mph (167 km/h).
Within the past hour, sustained winds of 44 mph (70 km/h) and a
gust to 60 mph (96 km/h) was reported at Lakefront Airport in New
Orleans.
A NOAA National Ocean Service tide gauge in Shell Beach, Louisiana,
recently reported a water level of 6.0 feet above mean higher high
water, which is an approximation of inundation in that area.
A NOAA National Ocean Service tide gauge at Bay Waveland Yatcht
Club, Mississippi, recently reported a water level of 5.4 feet
above mean higher high water, which is an approximation of
inundation in that area.
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.9N 90.1W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SSW OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SE OF HOUMA LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...933 MB...27.55 INCHES11am EDT/10am CDT Update: The latest update from the National Hurricane Center:
...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE IDA NEARING THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA...
...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS MOVING
ONSHORE...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.8N 90.0W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM WSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM S OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...933 MB...27.55 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Storm Surge Warning west of Intracoastal City, Louisiana, has
been discontinued.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border
* Vermilion Bay, Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas,
and Mobile Bay
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Mouth of the Pearl River
* Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cameron Louisiana to west of Intracoastal City Louisiana
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama/Florida border
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline in
the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary
actions to protect life and property from rising water and the
potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow
evacuation and other instructions from local officials.
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Ida was located
by reconnaissance aircraft and NWS Doppler radar near latitude 28.8
North, longitude 90.0 West. Ida is moving toward the northwest near
13 mph (20 km/h). A slightly slower northwestward motion should
continue through this evening. A turn toward the north should occur
by Monday morning, followed by a slightly faster northeastward
motion by Monday night and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the
center of Ida will make landfall along the coast of southeastern
Louisiana within the hurricane warning area within the next few
hours. Ida is then forecast to move well inland over portions of
Louisiana and western Mississippi Monday and Monday night, and
move across the Tennessee Valley on Tuesday.
Reports from NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicated that the maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240
km/h) with higher gusts. Ida is an extremely dangerous category 4
hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some slight
additional strengthening is still possible before Ida moves
onshore along the Louisiana coast. Rapid weakening is expected
after landfall.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles (85 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km). An elevated NOAA C-MAN station at Southwest Pass recently
reported a sustained wind of 105 mph (169 km/h) and a wind gust of
121 mph (194 km/h). A station in Shell Beach, Louisiana, recently
reported a sustained wind of 44 mph (70 km/h) and a gust of 52 mph
(83 km/h).
A NOAA National Ocean Service tide gauge in Shell Beach, Louisiana,
recently reported a water level of 5.6 feet above mean higher high
water, which is an approximation of inundation in that area.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is 933 mb (27.55 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Ida can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4, WMO header WTNT44 KNHC,
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?key_messages.
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Port Fourchon, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River...12-16 ft
Morgan City, LA to Port Fourchon, LA...8-12 ft
Mouth of the Mississippi River to Bay St. Louis, MS including Lake
Borgne...8-12 ft
Bay St. Louis, MS to Ocean Springs, MS...6-9 ft
Burns Point, LA to Morgan City, LA...5-8 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...5-8 ft
Ocean Springs, MS to MS/AL border...4-7 ft
Lake Maurepas...4-6 ft
East of Intracoastal City, LA to Burns Point, LA including Vermilion
Bay...3-5 ft
MS/AL border to AL/FL border including Mobile Bay...3-5 ft
Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA to Intracoastal City, LA...1-3 ft
AL/FL border to Okaloosa/Walton County Line including Pensacola
Bay...1-3 ft
Overtopping of local levees outside of the Hurricane and Storm
Damage Risk Reduction System is possible where local inundation
values may be higher than those shown above.
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding
depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and
can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to
your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.
WIND: Catastrophic wind damage is likely where the core of Ida
moves onshore along the southeast coast of Louisiana in the next
few hours.
Hurricane conditions will spread inland within the Hurricane
Warning area over southeastern Louisiana through tonight. Tropical
storm conditions will also spread inland over portions of Louisiana
and Mississippi tonight and Monday.
RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall from Ida will continue to impact the
southeast Louisiana coast this morning, spreading northeast into the
Lower Mississippi Valley later today into Monday. Total rainfall
accumulations of 10 to 18 inches with isolated maximum amounts of
24 inches are possible across southeast Louisiana into far southern
Mississippi through Monday. This is likely to result in
life-threatening flash and urban flooding and significant riverine
flooding impacts.
Ida is forecast to turn to the northeast early Monday and track
across the Middle Tennessee Valley and Upper Ohio Valley through
Wednesday, producing the following rainfall totals:
Coastal Alabama to the far western Florida panhandle: 5 to 10 inches
with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches, today through Tuesday
morning.
Central Mississippi: 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of
12 inches, tonight through Monday night.
Middle Tennessee Valley, Upper Ohio Valley, Central Appalachians
into the Mid-Atlantic: 3 to 6 inches with isolated higher amounts,
Tuesday into Wednesday.
These rainfall totals will result in considerable flash and riverine
flooding.
TORNADOES: Tornadoes will be most likely through Monday over
southeast Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southwest Alabama, and
the western Florida Panhandle. A few tornadoes are also possible
farther north across much of Mississippi and Alabama on Monday.
SURF: Swells will affect the northern Gulf coast through early
Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.10am EDT/9am CDT Update: Hurricane Ida Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021
900 AM CDT Sun Aug 29 2021
...900 AM CDT POSITION UPDATE...
...NORTHERN EYEWALL OF IDA APPROACHING THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA...
An elevated NOAA C-MAN station at Southwest Pass, Louisiana,
recently reported a sustained wind of 102 mph (165 km/h) and a wind
gust of 116 mph (187 km/h). Another elevated NOAA C-MAN station at
Pilot's Station East near Southwest Pass recently reported a
sustained wind of 97 mph (156 km/h) and a gust to 121 mph (194
km/h).
A NOAA National Ocean Service observing site at Pilottown,
Louisiana, recently reported a sustained wind of 52 mph (84 km/h)
and a gust of 77 mph (124 km/h).
SUMMARY OF 900 AM CDT...1400 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.7N 89.8W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SSE OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSE OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB...27.46 INCHESBREAKING: Lousiana - Dangerous category 4 hurricane Ida expected to make landfall along the Lousiana Coast around noontime with 150mph winds.
Areas are already seeing wind, rain and tornados.
Latest advisory from National Hurricane Center:
..LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS REACHING
THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE IDA EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.5N 89.6W
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SE OF HOUMA LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...933 MB...27.55 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* East of Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge Louisiana to the
Alabama/Florida border
* Vermilion Bay, Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas,
and Mobile Bay
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Mouth of the Pearl River
* Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cameron Louisiana to west of Intracoastal City Louisiana
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama/Florida border
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline in
the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary
actions to protect life and property from rising water and the
potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow
evacuation and other instructions from local officials.
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Ida was located
near latitude 28.5 North, longitude 89.6 West. Ida is moving toward
the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion should
continue through tonight and early Monday, followed by a slower
northward motion on Monday afternoon. A northeastward turn is
forecast by Monday night. On the forecast track, the center of Ida
will make landfall along the coast of southeastern Louisiana
within the hurricane warning area late this morning or early this
afternoon. Ida is then forecast to move well inland over portions
of Louisiana and western Mississippi on Monday and Monday night.
Reports from Air Force Reserve and NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft
indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240
km/h) with higher gusts. Ida is an extremely dangerous category 4
hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some
additional strengthening is forecast, and Ida is expected to be an
extremely dangerous major hurricane when it makes landfall along the
Louisiana coast. Rapid weakening is expected after landfall.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles (85 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km). An elevated NOAA C-MAN station at Pilot's Station East
near Southwest Pass, Louisiana, recently reported a sustained wind
of 92 mph (148 km/h) and a gust to 113 mph (181 km/h). Another
NOAA elevated C-MAN station at Southwest Pass recently reported a
sustained wind of 92 mph (148 km/h).
The latest minimum central pressure reported by a NOAA
reconnaissance aircraft is 933 mb (27.55 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Ida can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4, WMO header WTNT44 KNHC,
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?key_messages.
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Port Fourchon, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River...12-16 ft
Morgan City, LA to Port Fourchon, LA...8-12 ft
Mouth of the Mississippi River to Bay St. Louis, MS including Lake
Borgne...8-12 ft
Burns Point, LA to Morgan City, LA...6-9 ft
Bay St. Louis, MS to Ocean Springs, MS...6-9 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...5-8 ft
Ocean Springs, MS to MS/AL border...4-7 ft
Intracoastal City, LA to Burns Point, LA including Vermilion
Bay...4-6 ft
Lake Maurepas...4-6 ft
Pecan Island, LA to Intracoastal City, LA...2-4 ft
MS/AL border to AL/FL border including Mobile Bay...3-5 ft
Sabine Pass to Pecan Island, LA...1-3 ft
AL/FL border to Okaloosa/Walton County Line including Pensacola
Bay...1-3 ft
Overtopping of local levees outside of the Hurricane and Storm
Damage Risk Reduction System is possible where local inundation
values may be higher than those shown above.
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding
depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and
can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to
your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.
WIND: Catastrophic wind damage is likely where the core of Ida
moves onshore along the southeast coast of Louisiana in the next
few hours.
Hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning
area along the Louisiana coast beginning by later this morning with
tropical storm conditions expected to begin by early this morning.
These conditions will spread inland over portions of Louisiana and
Mississippi tonight and Monday.
RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall from Ida will begin to impact the
southeast Louisiana coast this morning, spreading northeast into the
Lower Mississippi Valley later today into Monday. Total rainfall
accumulations of 10 to 18 inches with isolated maximum amounts of
24 inches are possible across southeast Louisiana into far southern
Mississippi through Monday. This is likely to result in
life-threatening flash and urban flooding and significant riverine
flooding impacts.
Ida is forecast to turn to the northeast early Monday and track
across the Middle Tennessee Valley and Ohio Valley through
Wednesday, producing the following rainfall totals:
Coastal Alabama to the far western Florida panhandle: 5 to 10 inches
with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches, today through Tuesday
morning.
Central Mississippi: 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of
12 inches, tonight through Monday night.
Middle Tennessee Valley to the Ohio Valley: 3 to 6 inches with
isolated higher amounts, Tuesday into Wednesday.
These rainfall totals will result in considerable flash and riverine
flooding.
TORNADOES: Tornadoes will be possible today into Monday from
southeast Louisiana across southeast Mississippi and southwest
Alabama to the western Florida Panhandle.
SURF: Swells are beginning to reach the northern Gulf coast and
will continue to affect that area through Monday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
The next update from National Hurricane Center will be 10am.
We will keep updating this article with latest developments.
Graphics are courtesy/credited to NOAA.
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